Wrong Again: 50 Years of Failed Eco-pocalyptic Predictions

If this wasn’t such a serious topic, this would be pretty damn funny. What a farce.

In an article on their website, the Competitive Enterprise Institute is building on the work done by RealClimateScience.com to compile a shaming list of dire apocalyptic environmental predictions over the years, NONE of which came true.

Global warming, a coming ice age, holes in the ozone, acid rain, rising sea levels, capitalism and consumerism all, at one time or another, spelled doom to the earth and humanity.

As the references on both sites make clear, the predictions aren’t necessarily made by cranks, but by mainstream voices, typically holding respected positions in government and science. Except, of course, Al Gore who made millions trading in the market for carbon offsets, while beating the drum about man-caused climate change.

After decades of fake science with their doom and gloom predictions, its time to stand up and refuse to be manipulated. But there is just too much money to be made milking the always on the horizon apocalypse.

Time to wake up people. Man-made climate change is fake science. Its a control thing, meant to subjugate humanity. Given to us by the same ruling class that seeks to subjugate us with globalism.

Is Global Warming the biggest fraud in history? Think about it.

Extinction Rebellion: “… some may die in the process”

Extinction Rebellion leader Gründer Roger Hallam: “We’re going to force the governments to act. And if they don’t, we will bring them down and create a democracy fit for purpose. And yes, some may die in the process. “

Climate Alarmist group Extinction Rebellion is fascist. Flat out fascist. Hallam is advocating bringing down elected governments by force, and yes, even killing people to satisfy their political goals. Chaos. Anarchy. Nihilism. Tools of the trade.

Where have we heard that before? Benito Mussolini = Fascist Italy. Hitler = Nazi Germany. Mao Zedong = Communist China.

Compare and contrast Nazi Germany brown-shirts with fascist Italy black-shirts with Antifa black-shirts. Its deja vu all over again.

People … its time to wake up to what is really going on here. Antifa, Extinction Rebellion, Climate Activism, Impeaching Trump, et al are political efforts to overthrow democratic government and install fascist, totalitarian regimes. Globalism, Progressivism are code-words for Fascism. See it for what it is. Reject it.

“Those who cannot remember the past are doomed to repeat it” — George Santayana

As a related addendum, here is a good interview by BBC’s Andrew Neil with one of Extinction Rebellion’s talking heads. Neil challenges ERs talking point that climate change is going to cause the death of billions of people in the next 10 to 20 years. When confronted with the total lack of valid evidence that such an outcome is possible, the ER person says, “unfortunately, alarmist language works.”

Neil further challenges ERs target for zero emissions by 2025 and what it would take to reach that goal. Basically, burning of any fossil fuels would need to stop, which essentially means all economic actity — airplane travel, cooking and heating with gas etc. ER responds that experts would need to look at these things. But when confronted by Neil that experts have, and presenting data to the contrary, ER faults that data and points to more acceptable experts e.g. totally discredited Michael Mann. What a farce.

Climate Science Math

I’m not sure how the math works here.

Dutifully reported by the CBC, according to a Canadian report on climate ( Canada’s Changing Climate Report (CCCR)), “Canada is, on average, experiencing warming at twice the rate of the rest of the world, with Northern Canada heating up at almost three times the global average, according to a new government report. ”

Hmm. Okay. But how does that explain this.

If you haven’t taken a look at the link, Natalia Mateo put together a twitter thread that lists countries, regions and geography (e.g. mountains) that are reported to be experiencing rising temperatures at higher than average rates. Twice the average rate is pretty common: Sweden, Russia, the arctic, Norway, South Africa, Tibet, all of Africa, mountains in general, China, Alaska, Japan, Korea, Iceland, Britain, Adirondacks, Spain, Australia, Finland, the Himalayas, and Singapore.

Now, clearly, that’s not the whole world, but it certainly suggests a big chunk of the surface of the earth. So … who is bringing down the average? According to this “science” the rest of the earth is warming at below the average rate, to establish the average. Or perhaps even cooling. After all, we are talking about averages and it has to balance out on the other side.

Taking this information at face value (which would be folly), if all these regions are increasing at a rate greater than everyone else, shouldn’t the reporting actually be that Canada et al are increasing at the average rate. But, of course, that won’t suit the climate alarmist narrative. And I am certain the data is not there to support such a contention.

More cooking the data it looks like. Perhaps that is why temperatures are rising.

When Climate Data does not suit the Narrative, Change the Data

The Canadian government is omitting and deleting 100 years of actual observed climate data in favor of climate models. Its clear that the pesky real data that does not support the climate alarmist narrative the Trudeau government wants to promote is better deleted and forgotten.

The temperature data is part of a new website by Climate Change Canada meant to be used by policymakers to “support and enable Canada’s climate change adaptation planning, and improve access to relevant climate data.” i.e. It will be used for developing official government policy.

Cataloged temperature measurements collected between 1850-1949, real observed, collected temperature data, were replaced by data from 24 models and historical simulations based on data collected from 1950-2005. i.e., the actual historical data was replaced in the models by modeled data extrapolated from a period a century later.

The inconvenient truth is that the actual data doesn’t reflect the official climate alarmist narrative supported by the Trudeau government:

  • Vancouver was hotter in 1910 than it was in 2017;
  • Toronto was warmer in 1852 than it was in 2017;
  • Moncton was 4 degrees warmer in 1906 than in 2017;
  • Brandon, Man., had 49 days where the average daily temperature was above 20C in 1936, compared to only 16 in 2017, with a high temperature of 43.3C that year compared to 34.3C in 2017;
  • The hottest temperate ever recorded in Canada happened before 1950 – September 15, 1937, saw a high of 45 degrees Celsius in Yellow Grass, Saskatchewan – which meant it was also excluded from the new climate change website.

Yet another example of climate activism fudging the data to suit the narrative.

This follows a similar story from 2009 about the University of East Anglia’s (Norwich, England) Climatic Research Unit (CRU) being forced to reveal it had tossed actual data in favor of modeled data, following requests for the data under FOIA. In a statement on its website, the CRU said: “We do not hold the original raw data but only the value-added (quality controlled and homogenized) data.”

What’s really galling in the CRU case is the lame excused used for the destruction of the data was the need to save space. The revised figures were kept, but the originals — stored on paper and magnetic tape — were tossed (i.e. destroyed) when the CRU moved to a new building.

Roger Pielke, professor of environmental studies at Colorado University, discovered data had been lost when he asked for original records. “The CRU is basically saying, ‘Trust us’. So much for settling questions and resolving debates with science,” he said.

… and don’t get me started about Michael Mann. Sheesh! Mr climate hockey stick, father of global warming alarmism, took Canadian climate scientist Dr Tim Ball to court for libel. Dr Ball basically outed Mann as a charlatan. In trial, Mann defied the court, refusing a direction by the British Columbia (Canada) Supreme Court to turn over data and methodology relating to his, now infamous and thoroughly discredited, Hockey Stick chart. Mann was found in contempt, and must pay Dr Ball’s court costs. In addition to the rather substantial financial penalty, the judgement essentially establishes Mann’s hockey stick as debunked, indefensible hokum. i.e. Fake Climate Data. This is the way climate alarmism will end, not with a bang, but a whimper. And so it goes …

“There is no climate emergency”

More than 500 scientists and professionals in climate and related fields have sent a “European Climate Declaration” to the Secretary-General of the United Nations asking for a long-overdue, high-level, open debate on climate change.

There is no climate emergency … climate science should be less political, while climate policies should be more scientific,” the declaration states. “Scientists should openly address the uncertainties and exaggerations in their predictions of global warming, while politicians should dispassionately count the real benefits as well as the imagined costs of adaptation to global warming, and the real costs as well as the imagined benefits of mitigation.”

“Climate models have many shortcomings and are not remotely plausible as policy tools … there is no statistical evidence that global warming is intensifying hurricanes, floods, droughts and such like natural disasters, or making them more frequent … therefore, there is no cause for panic and alarm.”

The letter further declares that CO2 is not a pollutant. It is essential to all life on Earth. Photosynthesis is a blessing. CO2-mitigation measures are as damaging as they are costly. “We strongly oppose the harmful and unrealistic net-zero CO2 policy proposed for 2050,” they decared.

Finally, climate scientists are attempting to bring rationality and real science back to the discussion. Methinks a hyperventilating 16-year old was one prop too far.

Confessions of a climate scientist: the global warming hypothesis is an unproven hypothesis

Dr. Mototaka Nakamura has spent decades studying cloud dynamics and forces mixing atmospheric and ocean flows on medium to planetary scales. He has published 20 climate papers on fluid dynamics. He is what one would call an expert on climate science.

Dr Nakamura is one of an increasing number of climate scientists who are taking a stand against the shrill bullying of the man-made climate change crowd. In June, he published a small book in Japanese on “the sorry state of climate science”. It’s titled Confessions of a climate scientist: the global warming hypothesis is an unproven hypothesis.

Quadrant Online has published an article that neatly summarizes Dr Namamura’s position. That, while climate models are useful tools for academic studies, “the models just become useless pieces of junk or worse (worse in a sense that they can produce gravely misleading output) when they are used for climate forecasting.” He further states, “I am confident that some honest and courageous, true climate scientists will continue to publicly point out the fraudulent claims made by the mainstream climate science community in English.”

He projects warming from CO2 doubling, “according to the true experts”, to be only 0.5degC. Hardly the existential climate event we are told we are faced with.

On a related note, last year, Dr Jordan Peterson had some interesting views on climate change. In this conversation, he references the work of Bjorn Lomberg to understand how, when you prioritize the myriad of issues we are faced with to actually improve the world and the lives of its inhabitants, addressing climate change does not make the short list. Read Lomberg’s recent article in The Australian, “A Climate of Burning Money” to begin to understand the nature of the fraud that is being perpetrated on us.

There are powerful, hidden players beating this drum to their own selfish ends, and ruthlessly trying to censor critics. The lead off in Tony Heller’s video below quotes Dr Ottmar Endenhofer, from 2010: “One has to free oneself from the illusion that international climate policy is environmental policy. This has nothing to do with environmental policy anymore … We (UN-IPCC) redistribute the world’s wealth by climate policy.” As always, follow the money.

Tony Heller’s Gift To Climate Alarmists

Tony Heller compiles a list of highly selective data presentations climate alarmists use to present their case. As you can see, the actual data in its true historical context presents a much different story than the narrative the climate alarmists use to browbeat skeptics. The lead off quote by Dr Ottmar Enderhofer is likely the most revealing as to what is actually at play here.

In October 2015, Christiana Figueres, executive secretary of U.N.’s Framework Convention on Climate Change, admitted in a news conference that the goal of environmental activists is not to save the world from ecological calamity but to destroy capitalism. “This is the first time in the history of mankind that we are setting ourselves the task of intentionally, within a defined period of time, to change the economic development model that has been reigning for at least 150 years, since the Industrial Revolution,” she said.

Mike Shedlock (aka Mish) decompresses Heller’s video and adds some more context, thoroughly exposing climate alarmist agenda for what it is — a fraud. In fact, at the root of it is financial fraud.

As always, follow the money.

krazy kyakers

Ottawa has the good fortune of being near lots of water, mostly in the form of two rivers, the Ottawa and the Rideau.  The Rideau drains into the Ottawa.  Historically, the Rideau Canal was built to accommodate trade between Ottawa and as far as Kingston.

To facilitate boat traffic, a number of locks were installed.  In addition to the locks, dams were built, typically next to the lock, to manage the flow of water.  Near to where I live is a lock/dam called Hogs Back.  The dam side flows over a series of rocks, that are typically quite nice to look at, but with the spring melt, become a raging rapid.

So, this spring (2014), I brought my video camera down to Hogs Back to capture the wild torrents, much more wild than in other years, crazy huge flows.  After a bit of filming, a fellow asks if I am there to video the kayakers.  “Huh?”, I said.  He tells me three kayakers are suiting up getting ready to run the Hogs Back rapids.

So, I stick around and capture the following video.  Amazing stuff.  For 20 seconds in the rapids, it must have been invigorating, not to mention very cold.

For comparison, here are some pix of the flow in June,  Very pretty, but not nearly as dangerous. Note when the initial kayaker goes over the first flow, that is the same point as the first picture below.  Pretty amazing.

hogsBack_01
hogsBack_02
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