Month: January 2020

Eight academic/scientific studies over the last few years concluded that acidification of the oceans, via absorbing excess CO2 in the atmosphere, was addling reef fishes brains and senses such that they were unable to hunt and hide, and were dieing as a result. Specifically, the studies found that high CO₂ concentrations cause small reef fish to:

• lose their ability to smell predators, and can even become attracted towards the scent of predators
• become hyperactive
• loose their tendency to automatically swim either left or right
• have impaired vision

7 scientists repeated experiments documented in eight previous studies on the effect of climate change on coral reef fish to see if they were correct. They found 100% replication failure. None of the findings of the original eight studies were found to be correct.

Now, researchers of the original eight studies, all done at James Cook University’s Coral Reef Centre, are being investigated for fraud and misconduct. Why does climate science fraud always go in one direction?

• Here is the paper, published in Nature, refuting the original studies
• Here is the article from The Global Warming Policy Forum that referenced the source paper
• Here is the article on James Cooke University launching the investigation into misconduct
• Here is Patrick Moore’s @EcoSenseNow twitter feed where I found the issue. And cause I like the cut of his jib.

Spoiler alert: its not Greta. Not a surprise that Greta is a public face and little more. Now we know for certain.

As you can see from this Twitter thread, Greta’s Facebook account is administered by a guy named Adarsh Prathap. According to his Twitter profile, Adarsh is, predictably, a “climate crisis activist.”

Here is the 4chan thread that exposes the fraud.

The Facebook bug allows you to see which profile edits (i.e. who owns the page) Facebook posts in a Facebook page. The only condition is you need to find a post which was edited. Since 4Chan outed Greta and the bug, Facebook has closed it.

update Jan 12: The plot thickened quickly. Turns out Greta’s dad, Svante Thunberg, is also editing Greta’s Facebook page. This is so funny. Turns out, surprise surprise, that the Thunbergs are just a bunch of grifters that have figured out how to cash in on the gullibility of climate alarmists. The only one that doesn’t seem to be editing it is Greta. What a laugh. What a fraud.

update Jan 18: The Swedish public has voted that climate change spending has been the biggest waste of taxpayer money in 2019, according to a poll by the Swedish Taxpayers’ Association. I guess they haven’t been reading Greta’s dad’s Fakebook ramblings.

Well, this is not a surprise. Turns out there is no empirical evidence that increasing concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere causes radiant warming. A critical assumption of IPCC consensus on CO2 concentrations is that it causes radiant heat to be retained in the upper atmosphere. This conjecture “lacks empirical confirmation.” Experiments continue to fail to show that CO2 is a factor in warming the atmosphere.

It turns out that any heat effect is due to the different density in gases. One experiment used pure (1,000,000 ppm) CO2 in one container and air (N2, O2) in another to demonstrate the CO2 container warms more than the air container. It ended up illustrating that CO2 molecules are heavier than nitrogen and oxygen molecules. Heavier CO2 molecules “reduce heat transfer by suppressing convective mixing with the ambient air.” In other words, the CO2 molecules aren’t warming the container via their radiative properties, but due to the density differential for CO2 relative to N2 and O2.

Another experiment, again using pure CO2 in a container, compared the radiative absorption properties of CO2 to that of argon, helium, and air (nitrogen and oxygen). The capacity to absorb radiation (sunlight) was found to be quite similar for CO2 and for argon, nitrogen, and oxygen. The latter 3 are non-greenhouse gases. Nitrogen and oxygen together constitute 99% of the atmosphere. Argon’s atmospheric representation is 0.93% (9,300 ppm) and CO2 is 0.041% (410 ppm).

In the experiment, the limiting absorption temperature for pure CO2 molecules wasn’t significantly different than the far more atmospherically abundant non-radiative gases. Dr Allmedinger summarizes, this means that “a significant effect of carbon-dioxide on the direct sunlight absorption can already be excluded.”

update 110320: Here is a useful primer on CO2, temperature, climate, solar activity, global greening etc. We have Nothing to Fear from CO2, by Donn Dears

update 110320: And here is a study published in Jan 2020 that concludes agricultural productivity is increasing as the CO2 level rises. So, far from CO2 is a boogie monster that will destroy the earth and humanity, it is actually hugely beneficial. How did we get here? Well, read my post below on carbon credits. Always follow the money.

update 160320: There are now more than 115 scientific studies published that conclude CO2 has little or no effect on the climate.

Looks like 2020 is turning out to be a banner year for moving climate alarmist goalposts. This is getting too easy.

Per CNN tweet: The signs at Glacier National Park warning that its signature glaciers would be gone by 2020 are being changed. They were added more than a decade ago to reflect climate change forecasts at the time by the US Geological Survey, a park spokeswoman says. And in a bit of face-saving, new signs will say: “When they will completely disappear depends on how and when we act. One thing is consistent: the glaciers in the park are shrinking.”

In response, Tony Heller tweeted: Experts said Glacier National Park would be ice-free by 1948, and 1961 and 2002 and 2020 and 2044. The climate alarmist clown show never ends. https://realclimatescience.com/2018/10/ice-free-glacier-national-park-update/ …

I suspect there will be more of this. Twenty years ago, 2020 was a nice round number to hang a prediction on. Now that the future has arrived, turns out the climate apocalypse has been delayed. Yawn.

The Volunteer Firefighters Association (VFFA), the body representing the Voice of Volunteer Rural Firefighters in NSW, refutes the claim by green alarmists that climate change is the cause of the recent bushfires in New South Wales.

The VFFA is angered by comments from the green lobby groups that tackling climate change was more important than prescribed burning of forest fuels to reduce bushfire risk. The real blame rests with the greens and their ideology as they continue to oppose and undermine efforts to conduct hazard reduction in the cooler months and to prevent private landowners from clearing their lands to reduce bushfire risk.

The bushfires in Australia are hardly unprecedented. There have been far worse bushfires stretching back to the earliest days of European settlement in Australia, including the Black Saturday Victoria 2009, NSW Bushfires 1994, Ash Wednesday Victoria 1983, Blue Mountains NSW 1968, Black Tuesday Hobart 1967 and Black Friday Victoria 1939, according to Peter Cannon, President of the VFFA.

Read the VFFA press release here.

Listen to scientist David Packham explain that the wildfires have nothing to do with climate change and everything to do with fuel-loads.

Read about Australia’s firebug problem.

… “A 2015 satellite analysis of 113,000 fires from 1997-2009 confirmed what we had known for some time – 40 per cent of fires are deliberately lit, another 47 per cent accidental. This generally matches previous data published a decade earlier that about half of all fires were suspected or deliberate arson, and 37 per cent accidental. Combined, they reach the same conclusion: 87 per cent are man-made… ” — The Sydney Morning Herald, Nov 19, 2019

There are, on average, 62,000 fires in Australia every year. Populated areas and satellite studies tell us that lightning is responsible for only 13 per cent. The rest, 54,000 are man-made. I wonder what is the CO2 load from those man-made fires. Climate alarmists should be all over that! “How dare you!”

Here is an amusing twitter debate on the Australian bushfires. Hothead alarmists on the thread seem more motivated by opinions without any facts to back it up, just spouting off alarmist dogma. There is quite a bit of good data presented, pretty much debunking climate hysteria relating to the Australian bushfires.

This photo in the thread says a lot. Read the protest placards. Protesters in East Gipps­land in the state of Victoria stopped a hazard-reduction burn that they said was “killing baby birds alive.” “I’m more worried about climate change,” one protesting grandmother told the Australian Broadcasting Corporation. As a result, the hazard reduction was reduced to 3 percent of the area planned. Two months later, East Gippsland was burned out. I think this is a pretty good example of irony.

ABC Gippsland which originally ran the story about the protesters, deleted the article from its website after it gained notoriety on social media.

There is now tremendous blow-back in Australia as people begin to fully understand that climate change is not the cause of the bushfires. At least two decades of “green” environmental policy severely cutting backburns designed to remove fuel (i.e. wood and brush) is the true culprit. That and arson.

update 090120: Australian climate scientist Jennifer Marohasy discusses how the Australian Bureau of Meteorology has deleted actual recorded temperatures, massaging with fake temperature data, and consistently fudging the data (i.e. “cooled the past”) to validate the global warming narrative. Its ClimateGate all over again (see reference below).

I have to admit I haven’t spent enough time fully take in this rather lengthy blog post by Judith Curry — Legacy of Climategate – 10 Years Later. (from November 2019) Mainly because it has A LOT of information about the genesis and history of climate alarmism. I have covered some of this information in my last few blog posts, but Curry’s post peels the whole onion.

Climategate is in reference to the uncovering that climate scientists at the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) in the UK had deleted, then fudged climate data and then lied about it, presenting climate papers to the IPCC based on this knowingly falsified data. Once outed, there was sufficient evidence and concern that five inquiries or investigations were conducted by, respectively, The UK House of Commons Science and Technology Committee, The Oxburgh panel, the Independent Climate Change Emails Review under Sir Muir Russell, Penn State University and the InterAcademy Council. The first three were established in the UK and focused on scientists at the CRU. The fourth was focused on our friend, Mr Climate Hockey Stick, Michael Mann of Penn State University. The fifth was commissioned by the IPCC itself as a review of its policies and procedures.

Curry references a paper by Ross McKitrick, Professor of Environmental Economics at Guelph University, Understanding the Climategate Inquiries. (The link is to a Word document).

The net finding of these inquiries is that there was a conspiracy and collusion to fraudulently fake and then misrepresent climate data, which coincidentally provided research-based “evidence” of global warming. Fancy that. Didn’t see that coming.

Its mind-boggling how vast this climate hysteria conspiracy is. Its not like what has been going on has been a secret. Rather it is A Big Lie. But progressives in the climate science community, aided and abetted by MSM, have succeeding in shouting down and censoring critics. Ahh, yes, the Cancel Culture, the progressive’s grim reaper, will come for anyone that challenges THE NARRATIVE. The word for that is fascism.

p.s. I did learn something very interesting in this. For his “seminal” hockey stick analysis in the mid-’90s, Michael Mann used an algorithm which mined data for hockey-stick shaped series (i.e. it specifically looked for correlations in the data which formed a hockey stick when graphed). The algorithm was so powerful that it could produce hockey-stick shaped “reconstructions” from auto-correlated red noise (i.e. randomly generated data). Mann failed to disclose the use of the algorithm for his climate work, even into 2004. Small wonder he failed to reveal the algorithm in his defamation suit in British Columbia, which he lost for failure to produce court ordered data and methodology. As a result of the loss in his defamation suit, Mann is a wholly discredited climate charlatan.

update 240120: Speaking of Mann, watch Hide The Decline: A Climategate Backgrounder. Dr. John Robson looks back on the 10th anniversary of the exposure of the scandalous “Climategate” decision to delete awkward data that contradicted the idea that settled science said we face a man-made global warming crisis. IPCC cannot be trusted. It was clearly complicit in developing and promoting Climate Alarmism to suit their agenda, not the science. Conceal data that counter their narrative, slice and dice the data to suit the narrative. Their narrative? Climate is warming and the change is man-made = climate crisis … NOT! Fake data, fraudulent science. Wake up! Video from December 6, 2019

Greenland just set a new all-time record-low temperature — -86.8F / -66C. At that temperature, maybe Hell did freeze over.

Summit Camp, also known as Summit Station, is a year-round research station on the apex of the Greenland Ice Sheet. It is located some 10,500 ft (3,200 m) above sea level. It’s data is often cited by climate alarmists as evidence of global warming. So maybe warming has taken on a bit of a chill.

To make matters worse, a pulse of Arctic air is expected to engulf practically all of Canada by Jan 09, and should sweep the Central & Western U.S. by Jan 17. This is projected to be accompanied by heavy snowfalls.

The deep cold is a result of a weakening jet stream, diverting brutal polar cold to the lower-latitudes This is also coincident with historically low solar activity. Without sounding pithy, despite the shrill prognostications of global warming, there is mounting evidence that there is, in fact, a cooling going on. In which case, the climate alarmists will probably begin bleating about the need to increase CO2 emissions.

V.A. Shiva explains the financing side of carbon credits. Spoiler alert: it is a financial vehicle which will vastly enrich the IPCC and connected individuals. It has nothing to do with cleaning up the environment and everything to do with a transfer of wealth. It is a forced tax on carbon emissions. Trump saw through the scheme and exited the Paris Accord. Definitely, watch the video to understand how the scheme works and why the Paris Accord is a scam.

To summarize Shiva’s presentation: “Polluters” offset carbon emissions through buying “carbon credits” which are a financial tool created and administered by the IPCC. The Paris Accord was the IPCC’s “PR Organization” to force compliance with the use of carbon credits. But first, they had to get all the countries of the world to sign onto the accord.

Under the Paris Accord, the US would have to create a green fund with $100B. This fund would be used to pay off (ie bride) offending countries to get them to sign on to the accord. However, they would not be required to restrict carbon emissions until 2030, after which time offending companies would be required to purchase carbon credit offsets. This forced tax would be a multi-trillion dollar payoff for the IPCC and those connect with the scheme. Al Gore is sitting on a vast number of these carbon credits. And certainly there will be others, as well as the financial market mechanism for trading carbon credits.

To make the plan work, the IPCC had to establish that global warming was going on, and implicating humans as a primary factor. Shiva talks about how (a) climate scientist(s) cooked the actual measured and accepted average temperature of the earth to make it seem like there was warming going on. He references this article, “Fourteen is the New Fifteen” by Arvind Kumar.

In 1988, the “Observed Surface Temperature” of Earth was accepted by the IPCC to be an average of 15 degrees Celsius for the period from 1950-1980. In 1996, the Earth’s average temperature was estimated to be 14.64C. So, global cooling. Pretty inconvenient when the narrative you want to support argues for global warming.

In literature published after the 1997 Vital Signs report by Worldwatch Institute, the leaders of the global warming movement started using 14 degrees Celsius for the global average temperature for the period from 1950-1980. The 1998 edition of the annual publication of Worldwatch Institute uses 14 degrees Celsius as the global average temperature, providing details of how it was informed of the change from 15 degrees Celsius in a footnote.

In the footnote, in earlier versions of Vital Signs, Worldwatch used the average estimated temperature of 15 degrees Celsius, as reported by the Goddard Institute. But the institute informed Worldwatch that a better base number would be 14 degrees Celsius. Dr. James Hansen, one of the scientists that established the original 15 degree baseline temperature, established the new 14 degree baseline temperature arbitrarily in an email to the author of the Worldwatch report, dated 18 January 1998.

Thus we have the genesis of the global warming hoax. The “Big Lie*.” An email from Dr James Hansen to the author of Vital Signs. It is a scheme hatched and coordinated through the IPCC to sell carbon tax credits worth trillions of dollars over the decades, commencing largely in 2030.

At some point, we may find out who the financial geniuses are that actually cooked up taxing carbon emissions. To make the scheme work would have required a conspiracy to drive the idea through the public that carbon emissions, CO2, is a primary culprit in global warming. As documented throughout this blog, this is just not true, and yet most people believe it to be true. But, from a tax perspective, what could be better than taxing a substance as common as the air we breathe? Or rather, in actual fact, the air we exhale. Stunning.

If you are paying attention and have red-pilled, there should be no doubt that man-caused climate change is a transfer of wealth scheme from rich countries to the IPCC and any company, organization or individuals connected with carbon credits.

*The Big Lie: “If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it. The lie can be maintained only for such time as the State can shield the people from the political, economic and/or military consequences of the lie. It thus becomes vitally important for the State to use all of its powers to repress dissent, for the truth is the mortal enemy of the lie, and thus by extension, the truth is the greatest enemy of the State.” — generally attributed to Joseph Goebbels